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BTC Price Prediction: Analyzing the Path to $200,000 and Beyond Through 2040

BTC Price Prediction: Analyzing the Path to $200,000 and Beyond Through 2040

Published:
2025-11-02 15:30:29
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  • Technical Strength: Bitcoin trading above key moving averages with improving MACD momentum suggests underlying bullish pressure
  • Fundamental Support: Record Tether profits, institutional mining expansion, and Fed liquidity create favorable conditions
  • Long-term Trajectory: Scarcity dynamics and growing adoption point toward significant price appreciation through 2040

BTC Price Prediction

BTC Technical Analysis: Bullish Momentum Building

According to BTCC financial analyst Mia, Bitcoin is currently trading at $110,528.07, slightly above its 20-day moving average of $110,175.78, indicating potential upward momentum. The MACD reading of -19.50 shows weakening bearish pressure, while the Bollinger Bands position suggests the cryptocurrency is trading in the middle range with room for movement toward the upper band at $114,581.13.

Mia notes that the current technical setup suggests consolidation with a bullish bias, as Bitcoin maintains its position above key moving averages while showing signs of reduced selling pressure in the MACD indicator.

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Market Sentiment: Strong Fundamentals Support BTC Growth

BTCC financial analyst Mia highlights several positive developments driving bitcoin sentiment. The launch of UAE's first telecom-backed crypto mining service by Du represents significant institutional adoption, while Tether's record $10B+ profits in Q3 2025 demonstrates the growing ecosystem strength. Elon Musk's integration of Bitcoin-style encryption in 'X Chat' further validates blockchain technology.

Mia emphasizes that Bitcoin demand continues to absorb long-term holder supply despite market turbulence, with unrealized losses remaining below historical bear market levels. The Federal Reserve's $29B liquidity injection and Bitcoin's approaching $2 trillion market cap anniversary create a supportive macroeconomic backdrop.

Factors Influencing BTC's Price

Du Launches UAE's First Telecom-Backed Crypto Mining Service

UAE telecom operator du has entered the cryptocurrency mining sector with its Cloud Miner platform, marking the first such initiative by a Middle Eastern telecommunications provider. The cloud-based mining-as-a-service offering eliminates hardware requirements and energy costs for participants while ensuring regulatory compliance.

Starting November 3, UAE residents can bid for mining capacity through an online auction system. The service offers 250 TH/s of mining power through 24-month contracts with transparent pricing, leveraging du's existing data center infrastructure to create what it claims will be a sustainable mining operation.

"This isn't just about providing mining access - it's about building trust in digital assets through telecom-grade security," said Jasim AlAwadi, du's Chief ICT Officer. The MOVE signals growing institutional interest in cryptocurrency infrastructure within the Gulf region.

Prince Andrew Hosted Crypto Businessmen at Buckingham Palace in £1.4M Deal

Prince Andrew facilitated a private tour of Buckingham Palace for two U.S. businessmen linked to a failed cryptocurrency mining venture, Pegasus Group Holdings. The deal, worth up to £1.4 million, involved his ex-wife Sarah Ferguson as a brand ambassador. The project, which promised a solar-powered Bitcoin mining operation in Arizona, collapsed within a year, leaving investors in the lurch.

The June 2019 meeting occurred while Queen Elizabeth II was in residence, raising ethical concerns about Andrew’s use of royal privileges for personal business dealings. Ferguson reportedly earned over £200,000 from the venture before its collapse.

Buckingham Palace is now moving to strip Andrew of his remaining royal titles, further distancing the monarchy from the scandal.

Bitcoin and Gold: Complementary Phases of Monetary Evolution

The dichotomy between bitcoin and gold as competing assets obscures their shared role in the broader monetary revolution. Both serve as value rails with distinct strengths, thriving in their respective domains.

Bitcoin's network has matured into a $2.2 trillion asset class, fueled by record ETF inflows. Meanwhile, gold demonstrates enduring institutional appeal—central banks accelerated accumulation through Q3 2025, with reserves projected to grow for five more years. Tokenized gold products like XAUT and PAXG now command $2.5 billion in market value, streamlining fractional ownership while preserving custody frameworks.

The debate misses the strategic imperative: diversified exposure trumps tribal allegiances. As Ayni Gold's analysis suggests, these assets represent parallel solutions to monetary fragmentation rather than zero-sum competitors.

Bitcoin Price In The Final Stage Of Bull Cycle — When Is The Peak?

Bitcoin's price struggles persisted over the past week, reflecting the bearish sentiment dominating the digital asset market in October. The cryptocurrency dipped below the $110,000 threshold despite the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate cut on October 29, signaling muted market reaction to macroeconomic stimuli.

Alphractal CEO Joao Wedson predicts Bitcoin could reach a new all-time high between $143,000 and $146,000, citing the Max Intersect SMA Model's historical accuracy in identifying cycle peaks. The current phase is identified as the distribution stage, typically preceding market tops.

The tepid response of major cryptocurrencies to favorable monetary policy has raised questions about the current cycle's longevity. Yet, Wedson's analysis suggests the bull run may have one final surge before exhaustion.

Bitcoin Whitepaper Marks 17th Anniversary as Network Nears $2 Trillion Market Cap

Seventeen years after Satoshi Nakamoto published the Bitcoin whitepaper, the network continues to operate without interruption—a feat that underscores its foundational resilience. The document, "Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System," laid the groundwork for a financial revolution when it appeared on October 31, 2008. Three months later, the genesis block embedded a headline critiquing bank bailouts, cementing Bitcoin's anti-establishment ethos.

Today, Bitcoin's market valuation approaches $2 trillion as institutional adoption accelerates. Prices hovered NEAR $110,500 during the anniversary, reflecting both bullish momentum and characteristic volatility. Analysts view the milestone as a testament to Bitcoin's durability, with its unbroken operational history serving as a counterargument to critics.

Fed Liquidity Injection $29B Twist: Short Fix or BTC Lifeline?

The Federal Reserve's discreet $29 billion liquidity injection into the U.S. banking system marks the largest such move in over five years, sending immediate ripples through the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin and other digital assets reacted to the influx of capital, highlighting the growing correlation between traditional finance and crypto markets.

Market participants are divided on whether this intervention represents a temporary fix for banking sector stress or a sustained tailwind for risk assets like Bitcoin. The Fed's action underscores the delicate balance between monetary policy and market stability in an era of heightened financial interconnectedness.

Elon Musk Announces 'X Chat' with Bitcoin-Style Encryption to Challenge WhatsApp and Telegram

Elon Musk unveiled 'X Chat,' a new encrypted messaging app leveraging peer-to-peer encryption technology akin to Bitcoin's architecture. The announcement came during his appearance on The Joe Rogan Experience podcast, where Musk emphasized a complete rebuild of the messaging stack. The app aims to eliminate advertising hooks, addressing privacy concerns prevalent in platforms like WhatsApp.

Musk criticized competitors for harvesting metadata to fuel targeted ads, calling it a significant security vulnerability. While Meta asserts WhatsApp messages remain end-to-end encrypted, skeptics argue metadata exposure still poses risks. X Chat is undergoing final evaluations ahead of a projected launch within months.

Tether Reports Record $10B+ Profits in Q3 2025, Bolstered by USDT Growth and Diversified Reserves

Tether's dominance in the stablecoin market reached new heights as its Q3 attestation revealed year-to-date profits exceeding $10 billion. The issuer minted over $17 billion in new USDT during the quarter - one of its most aggressive expansion periods - pushing total circulation past $174 billion.

The company now holds $135 billion in US Treasuries, surpassing South Korea's national holdings and ranking among top sovereign debt investors. Reserves stand at $181.2 billion against $174.4 billion in liabilities, maintaining a comfortable $6.8 billion buffer.

Notably, Tether's reserve strategy shows increasing diversification with $12.9 billion in Gold and $9.9 billion in Bitcoin collectively comprising 13% of assets. "These results reflect the continuing strength of our balance sheet," CEO Paolo Ardoino stated, underscoring the firm's bullish position amid market volatility.

Bitcoin Demand Absorbs Long-Term Holder Supply Despite Market Turbulence

Bitcoin struggles to reclaim the $110,000 level after a volatile downturn, though the pullback remains milder than October's liquidation crash. The cryptocurrency lingers within its consolidation range as the market approaches a decisive inflection point.

Long-term holders have distributed approximately 810,000 BTC since July, according to CryptoQuant data. This sustained selling pressure has capped upside momentum despite robust demand absorbing the supply overhang.

The coming weeks will prove critical as macro conditions, liquidity flows, and investor positioning determine Bitcoin's next directional move. Current volatility reflects a market balancing profit-taking against accumulating demand.

Bitcoin Unrealized Losses Remain Below Historical Bear Market Levels

Glassnode's latest analysis reveals Bitcoin's Relative Unrealized Loss currently stands at just 1.3% of market capitalization—a figure markedly lower than even modest bear markets of previous cycles. The metric, which measures underwater positions as a percentage of total network value, suggests current holder pain remains contained despite recent price volatility.

Unlike absolute dollar-denominated losses, this adjusted metric enables meaningful cross-cycle comparisons. Senior researcher CryptoVizArt emphasizes the significance through on-chain data tracking: each coin's last transacted price versus current value determines its loss status, with the aggregate figure normalized against BTC's total market cap.

Singapore Police Seize $115M in Assets Linked to Prince Group's Chen Zhi Amid Global Crackdown

Singaporean authorities have joined a multinational enforcement effort targeting Chen Zhi, founder of Cambodia-based Prince Holding Group. The operation, conducted on October 30, resulted in the seizure of properties and financial assets worth over $115 million registered under Chen and his associates.

The action follows coordinated sanctions by the US and UK against 146 entities tied to Prince Group, described as the largest-ever crackdown on a cybercriminal network. US prosecutors allege Chen operated scam compounds in Cambodia that stole billions in cryptocurrency from global victims. The US Treasury has reportedly seized $15 billion in assets including Bitcoin and London real estate.

Singapore's restraint orders cover six properties and multiple financial instruments. The case highlights escalating global scrutiny of crypto-linked financial crimes, with enforcement agencies across three continents now pursuing Chen's alleged operations.

BTC Price Predictions: 2025, 2030, 2035, 2040 Forecasts

Based on current technical indicators and fundamental developments, BTCC financial analyst Mia provides the following price projections for Bitcoin:

YearPrice PredictionKey Drivers
2025$120,000 - $140,000Continued institutional adoption, ETF inflows, halving effects
2030$250,000 - $350,000Global regulatory clarity, CBDC integration, mass adoption
2035$500,000 - $750,000Store of value narrative, gold displacement, network effects
2040$800,000 - $1,200,000Scarcity premium, global reserve asset status, technological maturity

Mia cautions that these projections assume continued positive regulatory developments, maintained network security, and growing institutional participation. The current technical setup suggests we are in the early stages of this long-term bull cycle.

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